META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
| Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
| Benefits to: | ||||||
| Taxpayers | $4,575 | Benefits minus costs | $9,054 | |||
| Participants | $881 | Benefit to cost ratio | $2.08 | |||
| Others | $14,092 | Chance the program will produce | ||||
| Indirect | ($2,116) | benefits greater than the costs | 62 % | |||
| Total benefits | $17,432 | |||||
| Net program cost | ($8,379) | |||||
| Benefits minus cost | $9,054 | |||||
| Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | |||||
| Benefits from changes to:1 | Benefits to: | ||||
| Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
|
| Crime | $4,012 | $0 | $13,592 | $2,014 | $19,618 |
| Labor market earnings associated with high school graduation | $420 | $924 | $430 | $0 | $1,774 |
| K-12 grade repetition | $22 | $0 | $0 | $11 | $33 |
| K-12 special education | $94 | $0 | $0 | $47 | $142 |
| Property loss associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $0 | $1 | $2 | $0 | $3 |
| Health care associated with disruptive behavior disorder | $72 | $23 | $89 | $36 | $221 |
| Costs of higher education | ($45) | ($68) | ($20) | ($23) | ($156) |
| Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($4,202) | ($4,202) |
| Totals | $4,575 | $881 | $14,092 | ($2,116) | $17,432 |
| Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
| Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
| Program costs | $31,883 | 2007 | Present value of net program costs (in 2016 dollars) | ($8,379) |
| Comparison costs | $24,536 | 2007 | Cost range (+ or -) | 10 % |
| Estimated Cumulative Net Benefits Over Time (Non-Discounted Dollars) |
| The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in non-discounted dollars to simplify the “break-even” point from a budgeting perspective. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
| Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | |||||||||||
| Outcomes measured | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Adjusted effect sizes (ES) and standard errors (SE) used in the benefit-cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
| First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | ||||||||||
| ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | ||||
| Alcohol use in high school | 1 | 32 | -0.045 | 0.240 | 17 | -0.045 | 0.240 | 19 | -0.126 | 0.601 | |
| Cannabis use in high school | 1 | 32 | -0.083 | 0.240 | 17 | -0.083 | 0.240 | 19 | -0.230 | 0.340 | |
| Crime | 3 | 134 | -0.110 | 0.126 | 17 | -0.110 | 0.126 | 27 | -0.544 | 0.091 | |
| Externalizing behavior symptoms | 1 | 20 | -0.627 | 0.350 | 17 | -0.299 | 0.221 | 20 | -0.627 | 0.073 | |
| Illicit drug use in high school | 1 | 32 | -0.094 | 0.240 | 17 | -0.094 | 0.240 | 19 | -0.261 | 0.279 | |
| Internalizing symptoms | 1 | 20 | -0.428 | 0.346 | 17 | -0.312 | 0.295 | 20 | -0.428 | 0.216 | |
| Smoking in high school | 1 | 32 | -0.068 | 0.240 | 17 | -0.068 | 0.240 | 19 | -0.190 | 0.429 | |
| Teen pregnancy (under age 18)^ | 1 | 81 | -0.538 | 0.187 | 16 | -0.538 | 0.187 | 18 | -0.538 | 0.004 | |
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