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Project STAR (Students Taught Awareness and Resistance, also known as the Midwestern Prevention Project)

Public Health & Prevention: Community-based
Benefit-cost methods last updated December 2019.  Literature review updated June 2019.
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Project STAR (Students Taught Awareness and Resistance; also known as the Midwestern Prevention Project) is a comprehensive universal prevention program aimed at preventing or reducing youth substance use. The school component is implemented at the transition to middle school and consists of 10-13 classroom lessons using active social learning techniques (e.g., role-playing and discussion) and homework, plus five booster sessions implemented in the following school year. Parent, community, and mass media components are also implemented over a three- to five-year period to address multiple influences on youth substance use.
 
ALL
BENEFIT-COST
META-ANALYSIS
CITATIONS
For an overview of WSIPP's Benefit-Cost Model, please see this guide. The estimates shown are present value, life cycle benefits and costs. All dollars are expressed in the base year chosen for this analysis (2018). The chance the benefits exceed the costs are derived from a Monte Carlo risk analysis. The details on this, as well as the economic discount rates and other relevant parameters are described in our Technical Documentation.
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant
Benefits to:
Taxpayers $802 Benefits minus costs $2,280
Participants $1,020 Benefit to cost ratio $35.37
Others $535 Chance the program will produce
Indirect ($10) benefits greater than the costs 68 %
Total benefits $2,346
Net program cost ($66)
Benefits minus cost $2,280

^WSIPP’s benefit-cost model does not monetize this outcome.

Meta-analysis is a statistical method to combine the results from separate studies on a program, policy, or topic in order to estimate its effect on an outcome. WSIPP systematically evaluates all credible evaluations we can locate on each topic. The outcomes measured are the types of program impacts that were measured in the research literature (for example, crime or educational attainment). Treatment N represents the total number of individuals or units in the treatment group across the included studies.

An effect size (ES) is a standard metric that summarizes the degree to which a program or policy affects a measured outcome. If the effect size is positive, the outcome increases. If the effect size is negative, the outcome decreases. See Estimating Program Effects Using Effect Sizes for additional information.

Adjusted effect sizes are used to calculate the benefits from our benefit cost model. WSIPP may adjust effect sizes based on methodological characteristics of the study. For example, we may adjust effect sizes when a study has a weak research design or when the program developer is involved in the research. The magnitude of these adjustments varies depending on the topic area.

WSIPP may also adjust the second ES measurement. Research shows the magnitude of some effect sizes decrease over time. For those effect sizes, we estimate outcome-based adjustments which we apply between the first time ES is estimated and the second time ES is estimated. We also report the unadjusted effect size to show the effect sizes before any adjustments have been made. More details about these adjustments can be found in our Technical Documentation.

Meta-Analysis of Program Effects
Outcomes measured Treatment age No. of effect sizes Treatment N Adjusted effect sizes(ES) and standard errors(SE) used in the benefit - cost analysis Unadjusted effect size (random effects model)
First time ES is estimated Second time ES is estimated
ES SE Age ES SE Age ES p-value
Smoking before end of middle school
Any smoking of tobacco by the end of middle school, typically by age 13.
 12 2 4915 -0.123 0.110 12 -0.123 0.110 13 -0.497 0.124
Cannabis use before end of middle school
Any use of cannabis by the end of middle school, typically by age 13.
12 2 4915 -0.123 0.149 12 -0.123 0.149 13 -0.371 0.022
Alcohol use before end of middle school
Any use of alcohol by the end of middle school, typically by age 13.
12 2 4915 -0.061 0.114 12 -0.061 0.114 13 -0.227 0.232
Illicit drug use^
Adult use of illicit drugs that does not rise to the level of “disordered.” When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use from this outcome.
 12 1 500 -0.071 0.308 28 n/a n/a n/a -0.214 0.496
Alcohol use before end of high school
Any use of alcohol by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18.
12 2 2662 -0.034 0.119 14 -0.034 0.119 18 -0.102 0.399
Smoking before end of high school
Any smoking of tobacco by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18.
 12 2 2662 -0.062 0.120 14 -0.062 0.120 18 -0.189 0.123
Cannabis use before end of high school
Any use of cannabis by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18.
12 2 2662 -0.112 0.159 14 -0.112 0.159 18 -0.340 0.048
Illicit drug use before end of high school
Any use of illicit drugs by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 to 18. When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use disorder from this outcome.
 12 1 500 -0.093 0.327 17 -0.093 0.327 18 -0.282 0.409
1In addition to the outcomes measured in the meta-analysis table, WSIPP measures benefits and costs estimated from other outcomes associated with those reported in the evaluation literature. For example, empirical research demonstrates that high school graduation leads to reduced crime. These associated measures provide a more complete picture of the detailed costs and benefits of the program.

2“Others” includes benefits to people other than taxpayers and participants. Depending on the program, it could include reductions in crime victimization, the economic benefits from a more educated workforce, and the benefits from employer-paid health insurance.

3“Indirect benefits” includes estimates of the net changes in the value of a statistical life and net changes in the deadweight costs of taxation.
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant
Affected outcome: Resulting benefits:1 Benefits accrue to:
Taxpayers Participants Others2 Indirect3 Total
Alcohol use before end of high school Property loss associated with alcohol abuse or dependence $0 $1 $1 $0 $2
Smoking before end of high school Mortality associated with smoking $1 $2 $0 $37 $39
Cannabis use before end of high school Criminal justice system $100 $0 $239 $50 $389
Labor market earnings associated with cannabis abuse or dependence $414 $972 $0 ($207) $1,179
Illicit drug use before end of high school Health care associated with illicit drug abuse or dependence $287 $44 $295 $143 $769
Program cost Adjustment for deadweight cost of program $0 $0 $0 ($33) ($33)
Totals $802 $1,020 $535 ($10) $2,346
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Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant
Annual cost Year dollars Summary
Program costs $64 2017 Present value of net program costs (in 2018 dollars) ($66)
Comparison costs $0 2017 Cost range (+ or -) 30 %
The per-student cost estimate includes staff training time outside of regular school hours and the cost of training and program materials (https://www.crimesolutions.gov/ProgramDetails.aspx?ID=247). We estimate staff training time costs using average Washington State compensation costs (including benefits) for the 2017-18 school year. We assume that teachers from six prototypical size middle schools (as indicated in RCW 28A.150.260 https://app.leg.wa.gov/rcw/default.aspx?cite=28a.150.260), across two school districts, implement the school component with three cohorts of incoming middle school students. In line with published program descriptions (National Institute on Drug Abuse, 1997), we assume that community and media components are donated.
The figures shown are estimates of the costs to implement programs in Washington. The comparison group costs reflect either no treatment or treatment as usual, depending on how effect sizes were calculated in the meta-analysis. The cost range reported above reflects potential variation or uncertainty in the cost estimate; more detail can be found in our Technical Documentation.
Benefits Minus Costs
Benefits by Perspective
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars)
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment.

Citations Used in the Meta-Analysis

Johnson, C.A., Pentz, M.A., Weber, M.D., Dwyer, J.H., Baer, N., MacKinnon, D.P., . . . Flay, B.R. (1990). Relative effectiveness of comprehensive community programming for drug abuse prevention with high-risk and low-risk adolescents. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 58, 447-456.

National Institute on Drug Abuse. (1997). Drug abuse prevention for the general population (Publication No. 97-4113).

Pentz, M.A., Dwyer, J.H., MacKinnon, D.P., Flay, B.R., Hansen, W.B., Wang, E.Y., Johnson, C.A. (1989). A multicommunity trial for primary prevention of adolescent drug abuse: Effects on drug use prevalence. JAMA, 261(22), 3259

Riggs, N.R., Chou, C.P., & Pentz, M.A. (2009). Preventing growth in amphetamine use: Long-term effects of the Midwestern Prevention Project (MPP) from early adolescence to early adulthood. Addiction, 104, 1691-1699.