ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefits to: | ||||||
Taxpayers | $1,181 | Benefits minus costs | $3,183 | |||
Participants | $1,469 | Benefit to cost ratio | $5.87 | |||
Others | $1,200 | Chance the program will produce | ||||
Indirect | ($14) | benefits greater than the costs | 60% | |||
Total benefits | $3,836 | |||||
Net program cost | ($653) | |||||
Benefits minus cost | $3,183 | |||||
Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
Outcomes measured | Treatment age | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Adjusted effect sizes(ES) and standard errors(SE) used in the benefit - cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Crime Any criminal conviction according to court records, sometimes measured through charges, arrests, incarceration, or self-report. |
12 | 1 | 161 | -0.055 | 0.118 | 13 | -0.055 | 0.118 | 23 | -0.144 | 0.223 | |
Alcohol use before end of middle school Any use of alcohol by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
12 | 2 | 223 | -0.022 | 0.136 | 12 | -0.022 | 0.136 | 13 | -0.058 | 0.680 | |
Cannabis use before end of middle school Any use of cannabis by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
12 | 1 | 61 | 0.121 | 0.262 | 12 | 0.121 | 0.262 | 13 | 0.121 | 0.644 | |
Substance use^ Nonspecified substance use (i.e., alcohol, cannabis, or illicit drugs) that does not rise to the level of "disordered." |
12 | 1 | 161 | -0.005 | 0.118 | 13 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.012 | 0.919 | |
Smoking before end of middle school Any smoking of tobacco by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
12 | 1 | 62 | 0.000 | 0.261 | 12 | 0.000 | 0.261 | 13 | 0.000 | 1.000 | |
Alcohol use before end of high school Any use of alcohol by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
12 | 2 | 514 | -0.045 | 0.098 | 13 | -0.045 | 0.098 | 18 | -0.080 | 0.414 | |
Smoking before end of high school Any smoking of tobacco by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
12 | 2 | 514 | 0.010 | 0.125 | 13 | 0.010 | 0.125 | 18 | -0.072 | 0.735 | |
Cannabis use before end of high school Any use of cannabis by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
12 | 1 | 147 | -0.035 | 0.224 | 13 | -0.035 | 0.224 | 18 | -0.091 | 0.690 | |
Illicit drug use before end of middle school Any use of illicit drugs by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use disorder from this outcome. |
12 | 1 | 62 | 0.000 | 0.261 | 12 | 0.000 | 0.261 | 13 | 0.000 | 1.000 | |
Externalizing behavior symptoms Symptoms of externalizing behavior (e.g., aggressive, hostile, or disruptive behavior) measured on a validated scale. |
12 | 3 | 675 | -0.037 | 0.061 | 13 | -0.020 | 0.038 | 16 | -0.072 | 0.235 | |
Internalizing symptoms Symptoms of internalizing behavior (e.g., sadness, anxiety, or withdrawal) measured on a validated scale. |
12 | 1 | 161 | -0.027 | 0.118 | 13 | -0.027 | 0.118 | 15 | -0.071 | 0.549 | |
Illicit drug use before end of high school Any use of illicit drugs by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 to 18. When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use disorder from this outcome. |
12 | 1 | 367 | -0.025 | 0.293 | 13 | -0.025 | 0.293 | 18 | -0.025 | 0.933 | |
Problem alcohol use Alcohol use reflecting problem behaviors (e.g., high frequency drinking, binge drinking, or drinking that has a high impact on daily life) for individuals who do not have an alcohol use disorder. |
12 | 1 | 367 | -0.071 | 0.253 | 13 | -0.071 | 0.253 | 23 | -0.071 | 0.781 | Click to expand | Click to collapse |
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
Crime | Criminal justice system | $456 | $0 | $1,115 | $228 | $1,798 |
Externalizing behavior symptoms | K-12 special education | $35 | $0 | $0 | $17 | $52 |
Health care associated with externalizing behavior symptoms | $76 | $22 | $79 | $38 | $215 | |
Problem alcohol use | Labor market earnings associated with problem alcohol use | $611 | $1,440 | $0 | $0 | $2,051 |
Property loss associated with problem alcohol use | $0 | $4 | $7 | $0 | $11 | |
Mortality associated with problem alcohol | $2 | $4 | $0 | $29 | $35 | |
Internalizing symptoms | K-12 grade repetition | $1 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $1 |
Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($327) | ($327) |
Totals | $1,181 | $1,469 | $1,200 | ($14) | $3,836 | |
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Program costs | $500 | 2009 | Present value of net program costs (in 2022 dollars) | ($653) |
Comparison costs | $0 | 2009 | Cost range (+ or -) | 50% |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
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