ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefits to: | ||||||
Taxpayers | $1,844 | Benefits minus costs | $6,943 | |||
Participants | $418 | Benefit to cost ratio | $16.29 | |||
Others | $2,885 | Chance the program will produce | ||||
Indirect | $2,251 | benefits greater than the costs | 58% | |||
Total benefits | $7,397 | |||||
Net program cost | ($454) | |||||
Benefits minus cost | $6,943 | |||||
Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
Outcomes measured | Treatment age | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Adjusted effect sizes(ES) and standard errors(SE) used in the benefit - cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Crime Any criminal conviction according to court records, sometimes measured through charges, arrests, incarceration, or self-report. |
33 | 19 | 3624 | -0.047 | 0.051 | 35 | -0.047 | 0.051 | 45 | -0.075 | 0.163 | |
Illicit drug use^ Adult use of illicit drugs that does not rise to the level of “disordered.” When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use from this outcome. |
33 | 2 | 448 | 0.096 | 0.090 | 33 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.096 | 0.288 | |
Illicit drug use disorder Clinical diagnosis of illicit drug use disorder or symptoms measured on a validated scale. When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use disorder from this outcome. |
33 | 9 | 1175 | -0.238 | 0.091 | 33 | 0.000 | 0.187 | 35 | -0.246 | 0.011 | |
Substance use^ Nonspecified substance use (i.e., alcohol, cannabis, or illicit drugs) that does not rise to the level of "disordered." |
33 | 4 | 795 | -0.104 | 0.104 | 33 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.104 | 0.320 | |
Substance use disorder^ A non-specified alcohol or drug use disorder. Typically, a collection of different types of disorders reported by study authors. |
33 | 1 | 224 | -0.030 | 0.132 | 33 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.030 | 0.823 | |
Employment^^ Any employment, including part-time work. |
33 | 4 | 616 | -0.132 | 0.141 | 33 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.136 | 0.395 | |
Technical violations^^ Violations of the conditions of an individual’s terms of probation, parole, or supervision. |
33 | 7 | 1282 | 0.108 | 0.133 | 34 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.136 | 0.322 |
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
Crime | Criminal justice system | $1,324 | $0 | $2,508 | $662 | $4,494 |
Illicit drug use disorder | Labor market earnings associated with illicit drug abuse or dependence | $124 | $292 | $0 | $0 | $416 |
Health care associated with illicit drug abuse or dependence | $366 | $57 | $376 | $183 | $983 | |
Mortality associated with illicit drugs | $29 | $69 | $0 | $1,633 | $1,731 | |
Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($227) | ($227) |
Totals | $1,844 | $418 | $2,885 | $2,251 | $7,397 | |
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Program costs | $4,738 | 2016 | Present value of net program costs (in 2022 dollars) | ($454) |
Comparison costs | $4,353 | 2016 | Cost range (+ or -) | 10% |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
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