ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefits to: | ||||||
Taxpayers | $5,061 | Benefits minus costs | $6,570 | |||
Participants | $13,270 | Benefit to cost ratio | $1.47 | |||
Others | $983 | Chance the program will produce | ||||
Indirect | $1,181 | benefits greater than the costs | 65% | |||
Total benefits | $20,495 | |||||
Net program cost | ($13,925) | |||||
Benefits minus cost | $6,570 | |||||
Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
Outcomes measured | Treatment age | Primary or secondary participant | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Adjusted effect sizes(ES) and standard errors(SE) used in the benefit - cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Crime Any criminal conviction according to court records, sometimes measured through charges, arrests, incarceration, or self-report. |
19 | Primary | 2 | 229 | -0.106 | 0.080 | 31 | -0.106 | 0.080 | 41 | -0.463 | 0.092 |
Major depressive disorder Clinical diagnosis of major depression or symptoms measured on a validated scale. |
19 | Primary | 1 | 192 | 0.025 | 0.116 | 37 | 0.013 | 0.142 | 39 | 0.069 | 0.711 |
Employment Any employment, including part-time work. |
19 | Primary | 3 | 426 | 0.019 | 0.062 | 27 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 28 | 0.078 | 0.405 |
Public assistance Any form of welfare assistance, such as Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) or Assistance for Families with Dependent Children (AFDC). |
19 | Primary | 3 | 456 | -0.036 | 0.060 | 30 | -0.036 | 0.060 | 30 | -0.153 | 0.176 |
Food assistance Receipt of food assistance, such as from the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP). |
19 | Primary | 3 | 450 | -0.031 | 0.060 | 30 | -0.031 | 0.060 | 30 | -0.130 | 0.264 |
Anxiety disorder Clinical diagnosis of an anxiety disorder (e.g., general anxiety, panic, social anxiety, obsessive compulsive disorder) or symptoms measured on a validated scale. |
19 | Primary | 1 | 192 | -0.013 | 0.116 | 37 | -0.007 | 0.142 | 39 | -0.037 | 0.833 |
Crime Any criminal conviction according to court records, sometimes measured through charges, arrests, incarceration, or self-report. |
1 | Secondary | 2 | 232 | -0.032 | 0.080 | 18 | -0.032 | 0.080 | 28 | -0.119 | 0.320 |
K-12 grade repetition Repeating a grade. This is sometimes called "grade retention." |
1 | Secondary | 3 | 367 | 0.051 | 0.094 | 11 | 0.051 | 0.094 | 11 | 0.127 | 0.317 |
K-12 special education Placement into special education services. |
1 | Secondary | 3 | 367 | 0.031 | 0.111 | 11 | 0.031 | 0.111 | 11 | 0.046 | 0.820 |
Alcohol use before end of middle school Any use of alcohol by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 191 | -0.114 | 0.087 | 13 | -0.114 | 0.087 | 13 | -0.317 | 0.001 |
Child abuse and neglect Substantiated or founded reports to child protective services. |
1 | Secondary | 2 | 206 | -0.353 | 0.141 | 6 | -0.353 | 0.141 | 17 | -0.620 | 0.010 |
Out-of-home placement The removal of a child from parental care, most often to foster care. |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 191 | 0.147 | 0.116 | 13 | 0.147 | 0.116 | 17 | 0.408 | 0.001 |
Low birthweight birth*** Infant is born with a birth weight less than 2,500 grams. |
1 | Secondary | 3 | 9617 | 0.021 | 0.022 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 2 | 0.022 | 0.325 |
Very low birthweight birth*** Infant is born weighing less than 1,500 grams. |
1 | Secondary | 2 | 9162 | -0.040 | 0.045 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 2 | -0.040 | 0.373 |
Infant mortality Infant death within 12 months after birth. |
1 | Secondary | 2 | 8815 | -0.130 | 0.118 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 2 | -0.143 | 0.170 |
High school graduation^^ On-time completion of high school with a diploma (excluding GED attainment). |
19 | Primary | 2 | 401 | 0.035 | 0.086 | 23 | 0.035 | 0.086 | 23 | 0.096 | 0.271 |
Substance use disorder^ A non-specified alcohol or drug use disorder. Typically, a collection of different types of disorders reported by study authors. |
19 | Primary | 1 | 183 | 0.013 | 0.119 | 37 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.035 | 0.831 |
Cannabis use^ Adult use of cannabis that does not rise to the level of “disordered.” |
19 | Primary | 2 | 401 | -0.061 | 0.108 | 23 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.168 | 0.134 |
Alcohol use^ Adult use of alcohol that does not rise to the level of “problem” or “disordered.” |
19 | Primary | 2 | 9162 | 0.088 | 0.214 | 23 | 0.088 | 0.214 | 33 | 0.264 | 0.186 |
Low birthweight birth*** Infant is born with a birth weight less than 2,500 grams. |
19 | Primary | 3 | 9617 | 0.021 | 0.022 | 19 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 20 | 0.022 | 0.325 |
Preterm birth*** Infant is born at less than 37 weeks gestation. |
19 | Primary | 3 | 9162 | 0.021 | 0.027 | 19 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 20 | 0.001 | 0.990 |
Very low birthweight birth*** Infant is born weighing less than 1,500 grams. |
19 | Primary | 1 | 9162 | 0.000 | 0.081 | 19 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 20 | 0.000 | 0.990 |
Very low birthweight birth*** Infant is born weighing less than 1,500 grams. |
19 | Primary | 2 | 9162 | -0.040 | 0.045 | 19 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 20 | -0.040 | 0.373 |
Substance use^ Nonspecified substance use (i.e., alcohol, cannabis, or illicit drugs) that does not rise to the level of "disordered." |
19 | Primary | 2 | 266 | -0.049 | 0.094 | 31 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.237 | 0.215 |
Smoking during late pregnancy^ Any smoking after 32 weeks gestation. |
19 | Primary | 1 | 237 | -0.099 | 0.114 | 19 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.099 | 0.386 |
High school graduation On-time completion of high school with a diploma (excluding GED attainment). |
1 | Secondary | 2 | 226 | 0.023 | 0.107 | 18 | 0.023 | 0.107 | 18 | 0.051 | 0.682 |
Test scores Standardized, validated tests of academic achievement. |
1 | Secondary | 3 | 370 | 0.026 | 0.066 | 14 | 0.023 | 0.073 | 17 | 0.060 | 0.492 |
Smoking before end of middle school Any smoking of tobacco by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 191 | -0.075 | 0.087 | 13 | -0.075 | 0.087 | 13 | -0.208 | 0.018 |
Cannabis use before end of middle school Any use of cannabis by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 191 | -0.114 | 0.087 | 13 | -0.114 | 0.087 | 13 | -0.317 | 0.001 |
Substance use disorder^ A non-specified alcohol or drug use disorder. Typically, a collection of different types of disorders reported by study authors. |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 194 | 0.045 | 0.115 | 19 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.126 | 0.274 |
Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder symptoms Clinical diagnosis of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) or symptoms measured on a validated scale. |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 166 | -0.094 | 0.142 | 10 | 0.000 | 0.141 | 11 | -0.260 | 0.068 |
Externalizing behavior symptoms Symptoms of externalizing behavior (e.g., aggressive, hostile, or disruptive behavior) measured on a validated scale. |
1 | Secondary | 2 | 319 | 0.010 | 0.094 | 15 | 0.005 | 0.049 | 18 | -0.065 | 0.676 |
Internalizing symptoms Symptoms of internalizing behavior (e.g., sadness, anxiety, or withdrawal) measured on a validated scale. |
1 | Secondary | 2 | 332 | -0.048 | 0.092 | 15 | -0.048 | 0.092 | 17 | -0.174 | 0.127 |
Hospitalization^^ Hospital admission, for any reason. |
1 | Secondary | 2 | 5232 | 0.038 | 0.021 | 4 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.018 | 0.832 |
Alcohol use before end of high school^^ Any use of alcohol by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 38 | -0.162 | 0.206 | 16 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.450 | 0.031 |
Smoking before end of high school^^ Any smoking of tobacco by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 38 | -0.122 | 0.206 | 16 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.339 | 0.102 |
Illicit drug use before end of high school^^ Any use of illicit drugs by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 to 18. When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use disorder from this outcome. |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 38 | -0.087 | 0.206 | 16 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.242 | 0.242 |
Emergency department visits^ Whether someone visited the emergency department, or the number of times they visited the emergency department. |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 216 | -0.010 | 0.105 | 3 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.027 | 0.796 |
Small for gestational age (SGA)***^ Infants with birthweight at or below the 10th percentile compared with infants of the same gestational age. |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 455 | 0.000 | 0.081 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 2 | 0.000 | 1.000 |
Preterm birth*** Infant is born at less than 37 weeks gestation. |
1 | Secondary | 3 | 9617 | 0.021 | 0.027 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 2 | 0.001 | 0.990 |
Very preterm birth^ Infant is born at less than 32 weeks gestation. |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 8598 | -0.135 | 0.079 | 1 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.135 | 0.087 |
NICU admission Infant is admitted to a neonatal intensive care unit (NICU). |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 564 | -0.016 | 0.056 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 2 | -0.016 | 0.781 |
Substance use^ Nonspecified substance use (i.e., alcohol, cannabis, or illicit drugs) that does not rise to the level of "disordered." |
1 | Secondary | 1 | 194 | 0.013 | 0.115 | 19 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.035 | 0.752 |
Preschool test scores^ Measures of cognition in young children on standardized scales. |
1 | Secondary | 2 | 394 | 0.043 | 0.065 | 5 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.120 | 0.086 | Click to expand | Click to collapse |
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
Crime | Criminal justice system | $218 | $0 | $359 | $109 | $686 |
Public assistance | Public assistance | $465 | ($170) | $0 | $232 | $527 |
Employment | Labor market earnings | $463 | $1,091 | $0 | $0 | $1,555 |
Major depressive disorder | Health care associated with major depression | ($56) | ($16) | ($58) | ($28) | ($158) |
Mortality associated with depression | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($5) | ($5) | |
Anxiety disorder | Health care associated with anxiety disorder | $29 | $8 | $29 | $14 | $80 |
Food assistance | Food assistance | $147 | ($130) | $0 | $74 | $91 |
Subtotals | $1,265 | $783 | $331 | $396 | $2,775 | |
From secondary participant | ||||||
Crime | Criminal justice system | $307 | $0 | $650 | $153 | $1,111 |
Child abuse and neglect | Child abuse and neglect | $163 | $1,807 | $0 | $81 | $2,051 |
Labor market earnings associated with child abuse & neglect | $4,070 | $9,588 | $0 | $0 | $13,659 | |
K-12 grade repetition | K-12 grade repetition | ($84) | $0 | $0 | ($42) | ($126) |
K-12 special education | K-12 special education | ($969) | $0 | $0 | ($485) | ($1,454) |
Out-of-home placement | Out-of-home placement | ($189) | $0 | $0 | ($95) | ($284) |
Alcohol use before end of middle school | Property loss associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $0 | $1 | $2 | $0 | $3 |
Low birthweight birth | Health care associated with low birthweight births | ($71) | $0 | $0 | ($36) | ($107) |
Very low birthweight birth | Health care associated with very low birthweight births | $107 | $0 | $0 | $54 | $161 |
Infant mortality | Infant mortality | $463 | $1,090 | $0 | $8,115 | $9,668 |
Subtotals | $3,796 | $12,487 | $652 | $7,747 | $24,682 | |
Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($6,962) | ($6,962) |
Totals | $5,061 | $13,270 | $983 | $1,181 | $20,495 | |
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Program costs | $5,944 | 2015 | Present value of net program costs (in 2022 dollars) | ($13,925) |
Comparison costs | $0 | 2015 | Cost range (+ or -) | 10% |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
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