
ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
| Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benefits to: | ||||||
| Taxpayers | $196 | Benefits minus costs | $571 | |||
| Participants | $386 | Benefit to cost ratio | $10.06 | |||
| Others | $61 | Chance the program will produce | ||||
| Indirect | ($10) | benefits greater than the costs | 96% | |||
| Total benefits | $634 | |||||
| Net program cost | ($63) | |||||
| Benefits minus cost | $571 | |||||
| Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
| Outcomes measured | Treatment age | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Effect sizes (ES) and standard errors (SE) used in the benefit-cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
| ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Smoking before end of middle school Any smoking of tobacco by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
11 | 1 | 5066 | -0.031 | 0.020 | 12 | -0.031 | 0.020 | 13 | -0.031 | 0.123 | |
Cannabis use before end of middle school Any use of cannabis by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
11 | 1 | 5066 | -0.041 | 0.020 | 12 | -0.041 | 0.020 | 13 | -0.041 | 0.037 | |
Alcohol use before end of middle school Any use of alcohol by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
11 | 1 | 5066 | -0.040 | 0.020 | 12 | -0.040 | 0.020 | 13 | -0.040 | 0.042 | |
| Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
| Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
| Smoking before end of middle school | Health care associated with smoking | $15 | $4 | $16 | $8 | $43 |
| Mortality associated with smoking | $0 | $0 | $0 | $5 | $5 | |
| Cannabis use before end of middle school | Criminal justice system | $19 | $0 | $45 | $9 | $73 |
| Alcohol use before end of middle school | Labor market earnings associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $162 | $381 | $0 | $0 | $543 |
| Property loss associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $0 | $0 | $1 | $0 | $1 | |
| Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($32) | ($32) |
| Totals | $196 | $386 | $61 | ($10) | $634 | |
| Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
| Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Program costs | $53 | 2014 | Present value of net program costs (in 2022 dollars) | ($63) |
| Comparison costs | $0 | 2014 | Cost range (+ or -) | 10% |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
| Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
| The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
Bacon, T.P., Hall, B.W., & Ferron, J.M. (2013). Technical report: One year study of the effects of the Too Good for Drugs prevention program on middle school students. CE Mendez Foundation, INC.