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Treatment for juveniles convicted of sex offenses (non-MST)

Juvenile Justice
Benefit-cost estimates updated May 2017.  Literature review updated August 2017.
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Treatment for juveniles convicted of sex offenses includes individual or family therapies that aim to reduce problem sexual behaviors. Treatment components can include cognitive behavioral strategies, relapse prevention, victim empathy, education on human sexuality, healthy attitudes toward sex, and appropriate sexual roles. These programs are targeted toward youth who have been ordered to sex offender outpatient treatment following diversion or adjudication.
Treatment was provided by therapists and juvenile probation officers in the studies included in this analysis. Participants received three to four hours of treatment per week, ranging from 3 to 20 months.

Multisystemic Therapy-Problem Sexual Behavior (MST-PSB) was excluded from this meta-analysis and analyzed separately.
BENEFIT-COST
META-ANALYSIS
CITATIONS
The estimates shown are present value, life cycle benefits and costs. All dollars are expressed in the base year chosen for this analysis (2016). The chance the benefits exceed the costs are derived from a Monte Carlo risk analysis. The details on this, as well as the economic discount rates and other relevant parameters are described in our Technical Documentation.
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant
Benefits to:
Taxpayers ($4,154) Benefits minus costs ($33,637)
Participants ($867) Benefit to cost ratio ($2.59)
Others ($12,703) Chance the program will produce
Indirect ($6,547) benefits greater than the costs 18 %
Total benefits ($24,271)
Net program cost ($9,366)
Benefits minus cost ($33,637)
1In addition to the outcomes measured in the meta-analysis table, WSIPP measures benefits and costs estimated from other outcomes associated with those reported in the evaluation literature. For example, empirical research demonstrates that high school graduation leads to reduced crime. These associated measures provide a more complete picture of the detailed costs and benefits of the program.

2“Others” includes benefits to people other than taxpayers and participants. Depending on the program, it could include reductions in crime victimization, the economic benefits from a more educated workforce, and the benefits from employer-paid health insurance.

3“Indirect benefits” includes estimates of the net changes in the value of a statistical life and net changes in the deadweight costs of taxation.
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant
Benefits from changes to:1 Benefits to:
Taxpayers Participants Others2 Indirect3 Total
Crime ($3,657) $0 ($12,397) ($1,831) ($17,885)
Labor market earnings associated with high school graduation ($440) ($968) ($442) $0 ($1,850)
Health care associated with educational attainment ($105) $29 $115 ($53) ($14)
Costs of higher education $48 $72 $22 $24 $166
Adjustment for deadweight cost of program $0 $0 $0 ($4,688) ($4,688)
Totals ($4,154) ($867) ($12,703) ($6,547) ($24,271)
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant
Annual cost Year dollars Summary
Program costs $8,464 2008 Present value of net program costs (in 2016 dollars) ($9,366)
Comparison costs $0 2008 Cost range (+ or -) 10 %
The per-participant cost estimate is weighted by intervention type for the average length of treatment, which is approximately 12 months. Treatment costs were sourced from Erickson, C.J. (2008). The effectiveness of functional family therapy in the treatment of juvenile sexual offenders (Doctoral dissertation). Retrieved from Dissertation Abstracts International, (69-10(B), 6409). and Aos, S., Phipps, P., Barnoski, R., & Lieb, R. (2001). The comparative costs and benefits of programs to reduce crime, v 4.0 (Doc. No. 01-05-1201). Olympia: Washington State Institute for Public Policy. Additional program costs were provided by the Washington State Juvenile Rehabilitation Administration.
The figures shown are estimates of the costs to implement programs in Washington. The comparison group costs reflect either no treatment or treatment as usual, depending on how effect sizes were calculated in the meta-analysis. The cost range reported above reflects potential variation or uncertainty in the cost estimate; more detail can be found in our Technical Documentation.
Estimated Cumulative Net Benefits Over Time (Non-Discounted Dollars)
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in non-discounted dollars to simplify the “break-even” point from a budgeting perspective. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment.

^WSIPP’s benefit-cost model does not monetize this outcome.

Meta-analysis is a statistical method to combine the results from separate studies on a program, policy, or topic in order to estimate its effect on an outcome. WSIPP systematically evaluates all credible evaluations we can locate on each topic. The outcomes measured are the types of program impacts that were measured in the research literature (for example, crime or educational attainment). Treatment N represents the total number of individuals or units in the treatment group across the included studies.

An effect size (ES) is a standard metric that summarizes the degree to which a program or policy affects a measured outcome. If the effect size is positive, the outcome increases. If the effect size is negative, the outcome decreases.

Adjusted effect sizes are used to calculate the benefits from our benefit cost model. WSIPP may adjust effect sizes based on methodological characteristics of the study. For example, we may adjust effect sizes when a study has a weak research design or when the program developer is involved in the research. The magnitude of these adjustments varies depending on the topic area.

WSIPP may also adjust the second ES measurement. Research shows the magnitude of some effect sizes decrease over time. For those effect sizes, we estimate outcome-based adjustments which we apply between the first time ES is estimated and the second time ES is estimated. We also report the unadjusted effect size to show the effect sizes before any adjustments have been made. More details about these adjustments can be found in our Technical Documentation.

Meta-Analysis of Program Effects
Outcomes measured No. of effect sizes Treatment N Adjusted effect sizes (ES) and standard errors (SE) used in the benefit-cost analysis Unadjusted effect size (random effects model)
First time ES is estimated Second time ES is estimated
ES SE Age ES SE Age ES p-value
Crime 3 172 0.125 0.243 17 0.125 0.243 27 0.103 0.757
Sex offense^ 2 131 -0.063 0.293 17 -0.063 0.293 27 -0.117 0.697

Citations Used in the Meta-Analysis

Erickson, C.J. (2008). The effectiveness of functional family therapy in the treatment of juvenile sexual offenders. Dissertation Abstracts International, 69-10(B), 6409.

Lab, S.P., Shields, G., & Schondel, C. (1993). Research note: An evaluation of juvenile sexual offender treatment. Crime & Delinquency, 39(4), 543-553.

Worling, J.R., & Curwen, T. (2000). Adolescent sexual offender recidivism: Success of specialized treatment and implications for risk prediction. Child Abuse & Neglect, 24(7), 965-982.

For more information on the methods
used please see our Technical Documentation.
360.664.9800
institute@wsipp.wa.gov